A dozen years ago, the sustainability conversation invoked images of the "3-legged stool" of economy, society, and ecology. Now, thanks to folks like Mark Holland, we've got the "8 pillars" of sustainability. In between, the conversation went off the radar in BC as our forest and real estate industries tanked. The ecological leg of the stool wasn't as important as putting bread on the table.
So where are we at today? We've had 2-3 short years of intense discussion about sustainability, thanks in part to Mr. Gore. We are all much more aware of the need to do something about climate change, whether we think it's driven by our carbon lifestyle or just the whimsy of the planet. But our forest industry is in the tank. Again. As is our real estate and development industry. Again. Since October, we're also trying to figure out how to do something about global warming etc in the context of a financial freeze. Do we mimic the late '90s, and casually drop ecological concerns from the conversation about survival, which is what "sustainability" is really about?
I've been talking to people about this, and the consensus is that, Yes, the conversation has changed, but it hasn't gone away.

For residents of non-metro communities, however, one of the biggest changes ter Weeme sees on the horizon is the deepening of the "buy local" emphasis that has been growing in recent years. "I think we're going to see the end of the big box economics. The costs associated with transportation will start to undermine the advantage of big boxes. People are already being motivated to shop local, to buy local produce."

This is consistent with what Victor Cumming says about carbon-based changes emerging with regard to regional economics. Cumming is a 30 year veteran of regional economic development in Canada and internationally. He sees the market collapse in the fall as signaling the end of the idea that "globalization will save us, that an increased consumption pattern will save us, that we could, in essence, grow into more wealth without any clear understanding that there are some biological limits." For non-metro communities the upside is that some of the economies of scale (and cheap carbon-based transportation, ie. the economics of the big boxes) may be challenged by the economies of locality.
There is a growing realization, says Cumming, "that some of all of this grandiose economic activity needs to be tempered with concepts of long term carbon sustainability. This is going to really change people's thinking about wages, production levels, local economy -- in ways we have never thought about these before. In the Okanagan, for example, it's likely we'll come to the conclusion that shipping all fruit to Vancouver, so that it can be distributed from a single point, back to where it came from, will have to change. Old concepts where you can maximize margins by maximizing the carbon footprint, that kind of thinking has to change. Shipping milk to Calgary to process, so that it can be brought back... Those kinds of things will eventually go away."

Stark's research suggests that the current real estate slowdown is temporary for high-amenity communities like Canmore. But beyond the amenity-migration market, there appears to be a bigger shift taking place. "I don't think this is just a momentary blip in how we do things," says ter Weeme, echoing Cumming. "I think we're seeing a real values shift happening. People have been sold a bill of goods - the whole global consumption thing - and they're seeing that it isn't working."
Has the financial situation changed the conversation about sustainability? Yes, says Victor Cumming, "It's changed everything." The focus seems to have shifted to local, to the community. Some communities, like those Carole Stark works with, have the advantage of a "sustainability plan" that looks beyond short term gains. But it takes considerable leadership within a community to hold to medium and long term perspectives when families need jobs and mortgages need paying. Communities in the Comox Valley are in the process of developing a "sustainability plan." While this is critical, especially at a time when significant value shifts may be taking place, a plan is, after all, only as good as the commitment to follow through with it.
Post script:
For Part I of this review of the state of the sustainability conversation, see Tim Pringle's March blog post for the Communities in Transition program.

A version of this article appeared in the April 2009 issue of The Island Word.
©Real Estate Foundation of BC / 2009.
We encourage the reproduction of articles on this website non-profit educational purposes. Please notify the Foundation and the author of all reproductions, including in-house uses.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Thanks for taking the time to comment!